Our future climate
As the century unfolds, the Bay of Plenty climate will change.
As temperatures rise, our wind, rainfall and seasonal patterns will shift and we will see more extreme events and unpredictability in our weather.
We’re already seeing the impacts of our changing climate, from new pests taking up residence to increasing coastal erosion to more drought like conditions.
Use the slider in the middle to see what different levels of emissions could mean for the Bay of Plenty climate in the future.
What we can expect
The latest climate change projections for the Bay of Plenty draw on New Zealand’s most recent national data, released in June 2024 by the Ministry for the Environment in partnership with Earth Sciences New Zealand.
The Climate projections summary provides a snapshot of what this will look like for the region and its cities and districts. Climate change is also causing increasing sea temperatures.
Read more about the effects of climate change on the ocean around New Zealand.
Watch the short video to learn more about the changes
we expect to see across the Bay of Plenty.
We have a range of tools and resources available to help people understand the changes ahead.
